2026 World Cup Odds: Just How Dominant Has France, Mbappé Been?

After its 2-0 win over Morocco on Thursday, France has advanced to its third straight World Cup semifinals. 

When odds were officially released in December 2022, France was +600 to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Then, on June 11, 2026, the day the tournament began, France was +450 to win the title. 

Now, after its quarterfinal win and dominant tournament run to the semis, Les Bleus’ odds to lift the trophy have risen to +130, the lowest mark of any nation so far. 

This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you sign up or place a wager, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about Sports Betting on FOX Sports.

France opened its World Cup campaign with a 3-1 victory over Senegal. After a sluggish first half, Les Bleus broke the match open, scoring three second-half goals, including a brace from Kylian Mbappé.

France carried that momentum through the rest of the group stage, defeating Iraq 3-0 and Norway 4-1 to finish atop Group I. Against Iraq, France completely dominated the match, out-shooting them 19-4 while recording 41 touches in the opposition box compared to Iraqs seven. Les Bleus followed that up with another commanding performance against Norway, scoring four goals with another 18 shots. 

France has been even more dominant in the knockout stage. Didier Deschamps’ squad has yet to concede a goal, outscoring Sweden, Paraguay, and Morocco by a combined 6-0. Across those three matches, France has outshot its opponents 62-18, highlighting the level of control it has maintained throughout the tournament.

So, just how dominant has France’s World Cup run been? Let’s dive into the numbers. 

Before the 2026 World Cup began, Kylian Mbappé was +600 to win the Golden Boot. After scoring eight goals in six games, Mbappé’s odds have surged to +105. He is now the favorite over Lionel Messi (+150).